銆?銆?4鏈?鏃ョ數 鍥介檯娌逛环鍛ㄤ笁涓嬭穼锛屾?鍓嶆暟鎹?樉绀猴紝缇庡浗鍘熸补搴撳瓨涓婂懆褰曞緱2016骞翠互鏉ユ渶澶у懆搴﹀?骞咃紝姹芥补闇?姹傚垯鍥犳柊鍐犺偤鐐庣柅鎯呴伃閬囨湁鍙蹭互鏉ユ渶澶у崟鍛ㄩ檷骞呫?傚浗闄呮补浠?鏈?鏃ヤ笅璺岋紝鎴?嚦褰撳ぉ鏀剁洏锛岀航绾﹀晢鍝佷氦鏄撴墍5鏈堜氦璐х殑杞昏川鍘熸补鏈熻揣浠锋牸涓嬭穼0.17缇庡厓锛屾敹浜庢瘡妗?0.31缇庡厓锛岃穼骞呬负0.83%銆?鏈堜氦璐х殑浼︽暒甯冧鸡鐗瑰師娌规湡璐т环鏍间笅璺?.61缇庡厓锛屾敹浜庢瘡妗?4.74缇庡厓锛岃穼骞呬负6.11%銆?br /> 銆?銆?Ritterbusch and Associates鎬昏?Jim Ritterbusch瀵硅矾閫忕ぞ琛ㄧず锛屽彲鑳戒細鍑虹幇鑸硅揣绉?帇銆佽繍璐逛笂娑ㄣ?佷笉鍙?姉鍔涖?佸偍娌硅兘鍔涘彈闄愩?佸彲鐢ㄥ法鍨嬫补杞?噺灏戯紝杩欎簺鍥犵礌缁煎悎鍦ㄤ竴璧凤紝浠ゆ补浠蜂笅琛屽帇鍔涘姞鍓с??br /> 銆?銆?鐟炵?鑳芥簮鏈熻揣涓荤?Bob Yawger瀵硅矾閫忕ぞ琛ㄧず锛岄渶姹傛槸鎵?鏈夐棶棰樼殑鏍规簮銆傛苯娌归渶姹傚垱涓嬪彶涓婃渶澶у崟鍛ㄩ檷骞咃紝浠h〃闇?姹傜殑姹芥补渚涘簲涓嬮檷220涓囨《/鏃ワ紝鑷?70涓囨《/鏃ャ?傜編鍥借兘婧愯祫鏂欏崗浼?EIA)鍛ㄤ笁鍏?竷锛屾埅鑷?鏈?7鏃ュ綋鍛?紝缇庡浗鍘熸补搴撳瓨澧炲姞1380涓囨《锛岃嚦4.692浜挎《銆傝繖鏄?016骞翠互鏉ユ渶澶х殑鍗曞懆娑ㄥ箙锛岃矾閫忕ぞ鎻村紩鍒嗘瀽甯堥?璁★紝闅忕潃鐐煎巶鍓婂噺鐐兼补閲忓拰姹芥补闇?姹備笅闄嶏紝搴撳瓨鏂欏皢缁х画澧炲姞銆?br /> 銆?銆?姝ゅ?锛岀煶娌硅緭鍑哄浗缁勭粐(OPEC)鍐呴儴鐨勫垎姝у姞鍓т簡鐪嬭穼鎯呯华銆傛矙鐗瑰拰鍏朵粬OPEC鎴愬憳鍥戒竴鐩存棤娉曞氨鍦?鏈堝彫寮?鎶?鏈?細璁??佽?璁烘补浠蜂笅婊戠殑闂??杈炬垚涓?鑷淬?傝矾閫忕ぞ2鏃ユ姤閬撶О锛屾矙鐗瑰拰淇勭綏鏂?湪3鏈堝欢闀夸緵搴斿崗璁?拰杩涗竴姝ュ姞澶у噺浜у姏搴︾殑纾嬪晢鐮磋?鍚庯紝娌瑰競鏆磋穼銆傚竷浼︾壒鍘熸补鍦?020骞村墠涓変釜鏈堜笅璺?6%锛屽垱涓嬫湁鍙蹭互鏉ユ渶澶у?搴﹁穼骞呫??br /> 銆?銆?娌欑壒鏈?鏃╁皢浜庡懆涓夊紑濮嬪ぇ涓惧?浜э紝鏂板?鐨勫師娌瑰皢娑屽叆甯傚満銆備笌姝ゅ悓鏃讹紝鍑犱釜鐭虫补杈撳嚭鍥界粍缁囨垚鍛樺浗姝e湪鍓婂噺寮?鏀?紝浠ュ簲瀵规矙鐗逛笌淇勭綏鏂?煶娌逛环鏍兼垬甯︽潵鐨勫啿鍑汇?傚彟鎹?崕灏旇?鏃ユ姤涓?枃缃戞秷鎭?紝浼婃湕銆佷紛鎷夊厠銆侀樋灏斿強鍒╀簹銆佸埄姣斾簹銆佸畨鍝ユ媺鍜屽?鍐呯憺鎷夌己涔忕幇閲戣祫婧愶紝涔熸病鏈夎兘鍔涚敤澧炰骇鍘诲簲瀵硅繖鍦哄師娌瑰競鍦哄啿绐侊紝鍥犳?灏界?闈㈠?鏂板啝鑲虹値鐤?儏锛岃繖浜涘浗瀹剁殑鏀垮簻姝h?冭檻澶у箙鍓婂噺寮?鏀???br /> 銆?銆?璺??忕ぞ绉帮紝涓?浣嶆斂搴滄秷鎭?汉澹?瘉瀹烇紝鐗规湕鏅?個璇蜂簡鍖呮嫭鍩冨厠妫?編瀛氬拰闆?經榫欓?甯?墽琛屽畼鍦ㄥ唴鐨勫嚑鍚嶈兘婧愯?涓氶珮绠″弬鍔犱細璁?紝璁ㄨ?缁欒?琛屼笟鎻愪緵鎻村姪锛屾柟寮忔垨鍖呮嫭瀵逛粠娌欑壒杩涘彛鐨勭煶娌瑰緛鏀跺叧绋庣瓑銆?br /> 銆?銆?娓╅Θ鎻愮ず锛氱壒鏈楁櫘灏嗕笌娌逛紒浼氶潰 璁ㄨ?琛屼笟鎻村姪浜嬪疁甯傚満鐬?伅涓囧彉锛屾姇璧勯渶璋ㄦ厧锛屾搷浣滅瓥鐣ヤ粎渚涘弬鑰冦??